Prize Markets
These are Prize markets! When they resolve the payout will be in Prize Points, which can currently be freely converted to mana or charity donations and might in the future be convertible to other kinds of prizes. Each of these markets has been heavily subsidized, and more Prize Markets will be added soon.
Prize Market Prize Market100%98.9%
Dallas Mavericks
0.0%
Phoenix Suns
0.0%
Denver Nuggets
0.0%
Los Angeles Lakers
Prize Market98%
5+ people with Wikipedia pages attend
81%
> 20 people wearing glow sticks at once
97%
> 4 person group hug
24%
A billionaire attends
Prize Market8%
"Something" happens - https://manifold.markets/Joshua/will-nothing-ever-happen-permanent
65%
10 people join Manifold for the first time (or return after 3+ months inactive) to bet on this market [resolved to 10+ users whose first bet/first bet in more than 3 months is on this market]
39%
10 people share their own PechaKucha presentations
88%
3 or more people conspire and manipulate the outcome something in this market
Prize Market Prize Market Prize Market94%
Claudia Sheinbaum
6%
Xรณchitl Gรกlvez
0%
Movimento Ciudadano's Candidate
0%
Prize Market